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Sunday, May 19, 2019

Exit Poll Verdicts of Lok Sabha Elections 2019




Last phase of Lok Sabha elections 2019 will be over today (May 19) and votes polled in 542 Lok Sabha constituencies will be counted on May 23. From May 19 evening to early morning of May 23, Indians as well as neighboring countries will be busy on viewing reports from election surveys and  exit polls.

Pollster
NDA
UPA
Republic C-Voter
287
128
Republic Bharat-Jan ki Bat
305
124
News Nation
282-290
118-126
Times Now- VMR
306
132


ABP-Nielsen exit poll
AllianceSeats
NDA277
UPA130
Others135


West Bengal Exit Poll


ABP News Prediction

BJP- 16
TMC-24
Cong- 2

Predictions by C-Voter

TMC- 29
BJP-11
Congress-2
Left- 0

Nielson's Prediction for Bengal

NDA-16
UPA- 2
Others- 24

ABP Ananda Predicts

TMC- 24
BJP-16
Left- 0
INC- 2

India News Prediction

TMC- 26
Cong- 2
BJP- 14
Left-0

WB Exit Poll Results: Times Now prediction

TMC- 28
NDA- 11
UPA- 2
LEFT- 1

Republic TV- Jan Ki Baat: Bengal Predictions

TMC- 29
UPA- 2
NDA- 11
LEFT- 0

NDTV Predictions

TMC- 24
Congress-2
BJP- 14

CNN-News18 Prediction

TMC to get 25 to 28 seats out 42

West Bengal Exit Poll Results: Times Now prediction

TMC - 28 seats
BJP to improve its standing with 9 seats

Times Now Exit Poll
NDA- 306
UPA- 132
Others- 104

Accuracy of Exit Polls

1998: Exit polls verdict was  214 to 249 seats for the NDA while the Congress led alliance was predicted to win 145-164 seats. The NDA won 252 while the Congress got 166 seats in the Lok Sabha election.


Big Failure in Exit Polls

In 2004, the "India Shining" Lok Sabha election saw all the exit polls go wrong in gauging the people’s mood. All the exit polls predicted return of the Vajpayee government with half of them awarding simple majority to the NDA.


NDA managed only 189 seats and the Congress-led coalition won 222 and ran a government first with the support of the Left and then the Samajwadi Party and the Bahujan Samaj Party.

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